Several studies have examined the probability of a child believing in Santa Claus by age. The results published by Max Candocia are typical: by eight years of age, a child is only 50% likely to still believe, and by 14 that number is close to zero and remains flat.
But what about the total number? A 2019 analysis of Santa’s Christmas Eve delivery task completed by Philip Bump and published in The Washington Post placed the number of individuals to whom vietnam rcs data Santa delivers at about 550 million, living in about 400 million households. Another study from a few years earlier estimated roughly 525 million. But this just represents the number of individuals on the Nice List.
The length of the Naughty List is a little more elusive. not on the Nice List then they are Naughty is incorrect. Both categories of events are collected for both categories of individuals, so everybody has to appear in the database. We could take the total number of children under the age of 14 in the countries to which Santa delivers. That would probably get us pretty close, with those over 14 being a rounding error. But as an initial, conservative estimate, let’s assume a 50/50 split (it is generally accepted that the Nice far outnumber the Naughty, perhaps by as much as nine to one). To be safe, we’ll use 1.1 Individuals and 800 million households in the active master list.