We have recently experienced this with the metaverse or blockchain . Of course, these are technologies that have an impressive future, of course, if all the predictions were to come true, a lot of companies and entire sectors would change… of course! We'll see, but of course!
With artificial intelligence saudi arabia mobile number owner name and chatGPT (plus Google's version: Bard and any others that may emerge), something similar will happen.
The possibilities of chatGPT are absolutely spectacular, but although it is a technology that has been around for years, it will still take some time before we are able to assimilate it and apply it in our daily lives.
In preparing this article, I have done a few searches, and I keep seeing spectacular headlines that assure us that chatGPT is going to change all of our lives from now on. And they remind me a lot of the ones I read about the metaverse or similar innovations.
Let's look at Gartner 's adoption curve for AI-related technologies . Look at the legend to see the estimates of time to reach the general public/market. It is true that this graph is from July 2022 and that some of the points will have moved, but it gives us a good idea of the most realistic estimates.
ChatGPT falls into the category of generative artificial intelligence, which as you can see is reaching the peak of hype and is estimated to take 2 to 5 years to reach the general market.
Gartner Artificial Intelligence Adoption Curve
As you can see, every innovation related to artificial intelligence has important deadlines. Of course, the speed of adoption can increase, but there is a long way to go before we all have to be experts in chatGPT tomorrow and build our business models around it.
We must also take into account the regulations and limitations that governments are already beginning to propose. I think we still have a long way to go.
To relieve the tension that I know these topics produce, nothing better than one of the latest cartoons by the brilliant Tom Fishburne . A good way to summarize it would be this:
And if chatGPT creates content that you don't want to write, for people who don't want to read it, why are you writing it in the first place?
Tom Fishburne ChatGPT
If we already have a problem with too much content and not enough time to read it, what will happen when ChatGPT becomes more widespread?
Content writing and summarization is one of the most basic applications of artificial intelligence, but it is also the one that is causing the most buzz and the most conversations at the moment.
How quickly do you think ChatGPT will spread?
I'll ask you a couple of questions to try to get you thinking:
How long do you think it will take for the non-technical population to learn how to use it professionally? (I'm not talking about doing “four” tests).
Would you read a book or a novel written by chatGPT?
How much credibility would you give to a news story created with artificial intelligence? Would you trust it?
How capable will chatGPT be of creating content based on facts for which there is no data on the Internet?
How do you see chatGPT replacing the traditional Google search engine? In this case it will be Bard, of course. Wouldn't you find it more useful? How reliable would its results be? Would you follow its directions when travelling by car? (Or do you prefer user-generated data to avoid traffic jams (I'm talking about Waze)?)
ChatGPT the disruption that will change our routines
Regardless of when it arrives or stops in our daily lives, what seems clear is that it will improve our productivity. It will be the equivalent of when calculators or computers arrived. It will allow us to do things much faster and dedicate our time to other things.
As with every innovation when it comes, it will destroy some jobs based on more repetitive tasks but create new ones, and improve most of them. We will have to adapt as always.
In short, let's embrace innovations with enthusiasm, observe their evolution and think about what real value they can bring to our business model. Once we have this clear, it is time to apply them to our daily lives, not before.